All the games on this date have road teams up 1-0: the Hawks, Nets and Wizards. That would have been a conundrum if not for the Nets already favored to win their series. So for today, pick a Raptor. It's a safer bet than picking a Pacer or a Bull.
DeMar DeRozan. He is the franchise player and typical of Raptors stars (Carter, McGrady), he stunk up his first playoff game. One thing though about these Raptors stars, they do bounce back. The Raptors have talked about giving DeRozan better looks, and they have two days off to practice that. Look for him in the PRA of higher 20s, even 30.
Kyle Lowry. He is the true star of late, and he is out to prove he is worth more than a trade fodder. The Nets should not be changing their plan just yet, so expect Lowry to continue to roam free. He gets my pick.
Like the Mavs' Nowitzki and Ellis, DeRozan has been a focal point of the opponent's defense, and they have yet to have a big game. Bounce-back games usually are really BIG games; the problem is we can't be sure when that (or if that ever) happens. The potential high PRA is tempting, but sometimes it may be a safe move to wait for them to have a non-poor game before they get picked.
As for the other games, the risk of picking John Wall or Paul Millsap is relatively small for a winning team, but I wouldn't test rough waters right now.
Not a lot of risk-taking in Round 1. We up the ante next round though.