- Wizards(3) @ Bulls(1) Game 5
- Grizzlies(2) @ Thunder(2) Game 5
- Warriors(2) @ Clippers(2) Game 5
While that at first glance looks like a surefire Bulls pick for us, it is not as easy as it looks.
You have to look at Thursday's lineup:
- Bulls(2) @ Wizards(3) Game 6 if necessary
- Thunder(?) @ Grizzlies(?) Game 6
- Clippers(?) @ Warriors(?) Game 6
- Pacers(2) @ Hawks(3) Game 6
Two of the teams from Thunder/Grizzlies/Clippers/Warriors will be down 2-3 by Thursday. And to make it more challenging, the Pacers lost Game 5 earlier and are also in the brink of elimination on Thursday. So that's three teams we have to pick one (1!) player from and at the same time risk losing the other players if they do get eliminated.
Nobody likes to head into Thursday faced with that situation, so some of you will lighten up the burden on Thursday by picking in advance on Tuesday (ignoring the Bulls who "may" win at home). Of course that entails a lot of guesswork too. If you pick correctly from a team that will lose Game 5, then you can head into Thursday with less players to pick from, take advantage of the remaining high-PRA players, and minimise the loss of players for the next round of the playoffs. However, pick wrongly and it's a two-player swing against you.
Or... you can play it safe, choose the hot pick Joakim Noah on Tuesday, and not let Thursday bother you today. Just take note that Noah's PRA is not that far off from the one you will pick on Thursday. Noah can give you around 30 PRA, and that is not bad at all. Of course for those who already picked Joakim Noah, then you are forced to pick from the other games.
For me, here are my pre-picks, playing safe again with the X-3 teams on each date.
I'll get to changing picks for Thursday... after Tuesday.