I have Julius Randle for tonight's games. The Spurs losing Game 1 was an aberration. And with Anthony Edwards questionable for a few more games, I think the Spurs have this in the bag. How about Alupin's pick?
Alupin's Pick (The Efficiency Safety): Josh Hart (F, NYK)
Tactical Rationale:
The "Iron Man" Floor: With Jalen Brunson already spent, and OG Anunoby carrying a questionable tag (Hamstring), Hart is the most stable source of multi-category points.
Series Logic: New York leads 2-0 and is looking for the "kill shot" in Philadelphia. Hart's minutes are effectively capped only by the final whistle.
If you think the Knicks are advancing, then why pick Josh Hart?
I understand the tactical confusion. If the Knicks are advancing, shouldn't we "hoard" their best players for the next round?
In a standard aggregate points race, that is usually the move. However, Josh Hart is the exception to the rule for three strategic reasons:
1. The "Minutes Monster" Protocol
The most critical factor in aggregate point extraction is minutes on the floor.
Maximum Usage: In Game 2 against Philadelphia, Hart played a staggering 44 minutes.
The Iron Man Factor: He has consistently logged 31 to 40+ minutes throughout the 2026 playoffs, regardless of whether the Knicks are at home or away.
Guaranteed Volume: Even if he has a poor shooting night, those 44 minutes guarantee a high volume of rebounds and assists that a "higher-tier" scorer might not provide in fewer minutes.
2. The "Elimination Game" Trap
If you wait to use a player from a dominant team (like the Knicks, who currently lead 2-0), you run the risk of a sweep.
Dead Capital: If the Knicks sweep the 76ers (4-0), and you were waiting for Game 5, 6, or 7 to pick Hart, you finish the round with 0 points from that asset.
Early Liquidation: By picking him in Game 3, we "liquidate" his value while the series is still active.
I am sticking with the Josh Hart lock. We extract those 44 minutes of dirty-work points today and move on.
Any alternatives you would like to recommend to us?
The High-Upside Insurance: Naz Reid (F/C, MIN)
Rationale: If you decide to wait on the Edwards news and he is ultimately ruled out, Naz Reid becomes the primary beneficiary of the usage vacuum.
Protocol Fit: This allows you to save Karl-Anthony Towns or Rudy Gobert for later in the series while still extracting value from a high-usage role player in a must-win Game 3 at home.
Mitchel then Edwards
ReplyDeleteFor the following gameday,
ReplyDeleteMy pick: Donovan Mitchell
Alupin's pick: Evan Mobley
Lucky +2 Mitchell rebounds in the last 20 seconds for a double-double FPS bonus
DeleteTwo series at 3-0, and two other underdogs down 2-1. Round 2 might be over quickly. I regret a few of my early picks this round. I lost a number of players with mistakes in round 1 that advanced (Mitchell, Embiid, Maxey, Cunningham, LeBron). As a result, I started pretty low on other rosters (e.g. Ayton) and now I'm stuck with more Lakers and Cavaliers than I have days to pick. D'oh!
ReplyDeleteTomorrow:
Kelly Oubre Jr
Monday
Austin Reaves
Another big challenge for us is that Minny vs SA and Cleveland vs Detroit both play Game 6 on the same day, and these are the only series with a realistic shot to get that far.
DeleteIt's official as both of theses series are 2-2. Imagine the Mitchell vs Wembley dilemma if Detroit and Minnesota win Game 5.
DeleteIt's official as both of theses series are 2-2. Imagine the Mitchell vs Wembanyama dilemma if Detroit and Minnesota win Game 5.
Deleteon a side note I like Mitchel seems like a good dude and player but that he carries almost every time on his drive
ReplyDeleteWe missed the window to select a Sixer today. My pick: Gobert. Alupin's pick: Antman
ReplyDeleteFor the next day, mine is Harden. Alupin's is LBJ.
I think it worked out for the best for you. That was a dud of a game for pretty much every 76er. Likely an advantage to those who grabbed a Timberwolve today.
DeleteReaves then Gobert
ReplyDelete