The Spurs' first move is the most popular move in chess, and that is to do what has always worked, and that is to have the same starting lineup in Game 1.
Now, you may be thinking that it is the Heat's turn to make the next move. But, you see, the Heat had already made their move, even before Game 1. And that is to start Rashard Lewis. At first we thought that Chris Andersen may be injured, but it turns out he's not. So that means starting Lewis was a calculated move. Maybe it was due to the success they had with that lineup with the Pacers, who like the Spurs, had two legit bigs. Or maybe they borrowed from the Spurs' book when they played Diaw a lot against the Thunder's packed paint.
The Heat had success with that. Of course LeBron James being LeBron James (uncramped version) had something to do with that, but it also forced the Spurs to sit Tiago Splitter a lot because the Heat's perimeter shooting nullifies Splitter's use on the defensive end. The Heat will continue to start Lewis, and that is why he gets my pick before they change their mind.
So, you may be thinking that it is actually the Spurs' turn to make the next move. We may think that, but they already made their move, just not in the place we expect it. Not the starting lineup, but in-game adjustments. Splitter will stay a starter, but it is Diaw who plays his minutes and finishes the game.
Will we see adjustments in Game 3? Absolutely! What I haven't seen is the Spurs pounding the ball to Duncan and Splitter outside the first quarter. What I haven't seen is the Heat sitting the invisible Mario Chalmers more. Who knows? Manu starting? Diaw starting? Battier getting minutes? Haslem?
How about you, what's your next move?