Why oh why? Last year was so much better! Teams won when they were expected to. Pick plans were so stable! No, not this year, no. I think I've changed picks more times this round already than I did the last two playoffs combined. Seriously!
The loss of the Pacers and the Thunder had me deleting my picks for the next few days. And you know why I can't start picking a Pacer or a Thunder yet? Because a Game 4 win can suddenly tip the scale back on their favor. And certainly I can't pick a Hawk (used 2) or a Grizzly (used 1) because they are leading 2-1 with a home game coming.
Then on this Saturday we have the Spurs playing on Mavs ground for Game 3. Tied 1-1. I can't pick a Spur, because they are the best road team this year. They just need 1 win out of 2 tries in Dallas, and they are back on track. And I can't pick a Mav, because I am a fan and I want to believe they can hold the fort. Good luck convincing myself that.
I am sorry guys, I don't have much to suggest for this date. I'm afraid I'll be shoving you under the bus (a double-decker bus) if I do so. The only thing I am sure of is if you still have Al Jefferson or Kemba Walker, then thank the Heavens, consider yourself lucky and go pick them. At least the Heat can be relied on.
My pick options sorted by probability to lose series are: a Pacer, a Thunder, a Spur, a Mav, a Grizzly. No Hawks left available. I got a pick, but I'm sure I'll change it a few times until Saturday afternoon. I'll tell you in the comments when it's final.
Perhaps you can convince me to pick a certain player...
UPDATE: Here's my final answer. Paul George. If Pacers win, I only lose Paul for the Conf Semis. If Hawks win, I have time to pick Lance Stephenson in Game 5. Win or lose, I'm taking Paul's potentially high PRA in a must-win game. Good luck with your picks!