It's a newbie mistake, folks. Yep, I'm pointing to a sixth of you who are picking Kevin Durant on the very first day. Don't do it! Just imagine yourself in the future to the Conference Finals picking some lowly player while the rest of us picking Durant. Save him for later.
Remember: You can only use each player once throughout the entire playoffs.
You see, you have to take advantage of players while they are playing right before they lose. It's about choosing wisely: right players at the right round. First round picks for first round exit teams. Finals picks for Finals teams.
Here are your options for Day 1.
Stephen Curry. He is the hottest pick. And it stands to these reasons: (1) Andre Bogut is lost and with him their chances, (2) Warriors are turning to Small Ball so more stats for Curry, and (3) Curry is prone to injury so picking him ASAP makes sense. Pick him.
Zach Randolph. His 2011 Day 1 nets 42 PRA. His 2012 Day 1, just 14. Last year's, 17. I'm sure 2014 will be at least better than 17. You can pick him now, but I suggest delaying him for Monday with only two Game 2s then.
Paul Millsap. Sorry Hawks fans, but the Pacers are back on a mission. Millsap is not the best player on a potentially losing team this day (Curry is), but Monday's tight two-game schedule sked gives us limited options then (especially if Warriors or Grizzlies steal Game 1). Millsap gets my pick.
Of all the matches in the playoffs, the Nets-Raptors series is the most uncertain (just look at the polls). We'll do a wait-and-see for this one before we make a pick here.
For fans of certain teams, we all here can understand why you can't pick from your beloved team. That's alright! Don't.
Just don't pick Kevin Durant on Day 1.