Toss A Coin

Three games all tied 1-1. Pacers got back on track against the Hawks. Grizzlies stole a road win from Thunder. Clippers retaliated on the Warriors... big-time! It's very rare that we are faced with all games in a day with a level of uncertainty. One wrong pick on a winner will send ripples (the bad kind) to our pick plan, not only for Round 1, but also throughout the rest of the playoffs.


Some of you may have picked already from these six teams in Games 1 and 2. And you have to ask yourself, "After two games, do I still think this certain team will lose?" Your answer may be different than mine. Even the team in your mind may be different than mine. But I asked myself that, and my answer is "Yes, Hawks will still lose."

Paul Millsap. Even if the Hawks won Game 1, I still thought they'll eventually lose. Not picking from that series for Game 2 was just an objective decision. But now, I can go back to picking a Hawk for Game 3. For those who have not picked Millsap yet and believe Pacers have this, pick Millsap.

Jeff Teague. He still gets the most goal attempts, and while I don't think he'll top his big Game 1 PRA, I can still expect the high 20s from him. Hopefully, Teague can feed off the fans' energy. He gets my pick.


As for the others, if you think their team is more likely to lose the series than the Hawks, then feel free to pick from these:

Zach Randolph. I also think Grizzlies will eventually fall. It's just I believe not as probable than the Hawks losing. Z Bo is still their top man. Points and rebounds will get him your needed PRA.

Stephen Curry. The Warriors to me will still lose this without Bogut. It's just I want to see them lose one more before I pick him. He's up for a big game, and the home crowd will help him do so.

Blake Griffin. Remember that Games 3 and 4 are in Golden State, and they already have a win. If you can foresee the Warriors winning both games, then it will be hard for the Clippers to get up from being down 1-3.

Kevin Durant. Some of those who picked him in Day 1 should be cackling right now. Yes, if the Grizzlies defense can win both home games, they can finish the Thunder off in Game 6.

Paul George. Yes you read that right -- I got pick recommendations from all six teams this date. I doubt Pacers will fall, but if you're a Hawks fan (they seem to abound this fantasy game too), you'll gladly pick a Pacer.

Good luck. It's a coin toss.


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25 comments:

  1. A coin toss is the perfect way to sum this day up. I looked into some recent history on how series go after a 1-1 split, and it was pretty much right on 50% for the higher seed and 50% for the lower seed. I feel confident in the Pacers, Clippers and Thunder, but I'm also confident after Game 4 at least one of these teams (just don't know which one) will be in peril, just because I'm bound to be wrong on one of them. I've picked Curry and Conley, so for me Millsap is the easiest decision. I'm really, REALLY hoping all the road teams win this day. Game 5 between LAC-GS and OKC-MEM is on the same day. I do not want to make a decision betweem Durant, Griffin and Paul. Yikes.

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    1. Hope OKC wins this out. Too weird to award the MVP trophy while out in the conf semis.

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  2. All about Curry for me. I watched that last Clippers game and the Warriors really don't stand a chance. Sure they can win when Blake Griffin plays 19 minutes and picks up 6 fouls, but that's simply not going to happen like that again. They'll probably split the next 2 games and Clippers will finish them off in 6, but even if it goes 7, I'm so confident the Clips will win I won't even pick Chris Paul on that night.

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    1. Hope it doesn't get to 7 though. Messes up the DTTF game plan.

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  3. How many times can I flip the coin? lol

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  4. Hey that was me above @topknox..........
    .......That is who I am in the group chat.... Well the coin FINALLY came up like I wanted ....I'm going with Lillard.. HOU will win tonight and come out on top.... (fingers crossed) :)

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    1. The ONLY thing I don't like about my pic is taking someone coming off a really good PRA game, he had 45.... it's not common that players have back to back games like that

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  5. damn..kemba is struggling, might be my worst pick so far

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    1. 27 PRA for a struggling player. I'll take it.

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  6. Kemba was my lowest total so far so I'm not really upset. Was kinda hoping for more but kemba tends to have shooting slumps.

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  7. Lillard did me okay with a 34......
    ...................Houston did not do me okay lol

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    1. I'm okay.. I'll use my HOU players for the rest of this series.. and then I'll use either DAL or SAN players against the THUNDER..... :)

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  8. Well, right idea picking a Rocket, but tonight was Howard's night, and Harden's PRA climbed up at a painfully slow rate. My next three days have changed from Millsap, Noah and Nowitzki to Millsap, Howard and Walker in just one night. Crazy stuff!

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  9. IKR.... the last 7 or 8 pts that Lillard scored was in like the last minute shooting free throws and getting assists lol.....

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  10. How about this playoffs eh? More picking challenges with all these upsets and road wins going on. So far, I've been careful with my picks, but soon I too will make bold choices like some of you already had.

    Rockets are a goner.
    Mavs have life.

    Love 'em Texas basketball.

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  11. LA has just been too good. The rockets have kept it close but Harden is playing terrible basketball. I except a bounce back game from him so he gets my pick Friday while tomorrow I'm going with Teague. The bulls and wizards play Friday so if that series is a sweep then I'm okay because the bulls really only have one must pick player that can get you a guaranteed 25 PRA and that's Noah.

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  12. The question is betting on Memphis or Atlanta... I decided to go with Mike Conley days ago and i don't like to change my mind... So, good luck... ;-)

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    1. I also had Conley lined up, until Pacers won G2.

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  13. hey guys great playoffs so far.

    I'm going with Lee today

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  14. Teague 34 PRA. Very happy with that. Bad news is hawks up 2-1 and it really is looking like pacers are going to lose. Uh oh

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