tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2794801666266415731.post1016837827768294485..comments2023-09-03T23:51:55.914-07:00Comments on Drive to the Finals Blog: Pacers vs Heat, Part IIUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger22125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2794801666266415731.post-80455608929357027902013-05-23T14:51:18.852-07:002013-05-23T14:51:18.852-07:00I guess Pacers decided to shutdown cutters like Al...I guess Pacers decided to shutdown cutters like Allen.Taong Gagambahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05172021582832968662noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2794801666266415731.post-16896131542593564212013-05-23T10:04:02.229-07:002013-05-23T10:04:02.229-07:00FYI, I always check the games going to the play-by...FYI, I always check the games going to the play-by-play without knowing anything, so I can "re-live" the match as it happened, more or less. I go to work and check it out at about 6 or 7 p.m. local time, which is about when I am posting here. <br /><br />So you can imagine my happiness when I pick a player and all I read about him is "XXX layup shot missed" or "XXX 3pt shot missed". <br /><br />This time, I picked two Allens in a row, the first going 2/11 (starting 0/7 in the first half), the second going 1/8 and even missing a critical FT in the end (as the 6th best freethrow-shooter in NBA history). Ray was a total bust for me. He also was a bust for me last season when I picked a game where he went 3 for 6 from the line! I don´t think he ever was so bad at FTs as in that one match.<br /><br />Even worse, I was considering picking Andersen at first and then decided to pick an outside shooter and hoping for Ray´s sweet touch and that he would have a good game. Didn´t quite work out.<br /><br />That leaves me with Pacers for the time being. I will doom Stephenson for the next game. The way things are going again, I would advise everyone else to stay away from Lance. <br /><br />The worst thing of all? I would like to see the Pacers win this series. Had mostly two scenarios for game 1: Ray Allen would have a good game and the Heat win (okay, I get a lot of points at DTTF). Or Ray Allen would suck and the Heat would lose because they would need his points (okay, too, since the Pacers would gain homecourt). The only thing that shouldn´t have happened: The Heat would win despite Ray Allen not showing up.<br /><br />Then I go through the play-by-play, see the Pacers scoring in overtime, the Heat scoring, and then George connects on the last three FTs with 2,2 sec left to play. I mean, what could happen, really?<br /><br />The rest, as they say, is history. <br /><br />I hate this game.Alex Hergeshttp://www.donald.orgnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2794801666266415731.post-62662485215069465162013-05-23T08:55:16.640-07:002013-05-23T08:55:16.640-07:00I know! I almost went Prince too, but he was bench...I know! I almost went Prince too, but he was benched like half the game. I almost went Stephenson yesterday, but he can be on and off too. Hill didn't do anything for me. I was winning in my group but now I am in second and behind by like 30 points.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2794801666266415731.post-60665633459205782452013-05-23T07:34:29.669-07:002013-05-23T07:34:29.669-07:00One of the reasons why best players should be pick...One of the reasons why best players should be picked early is injury. If a player gets injured (Stephen Curry is the best example of that).<br /><br />Now when one does not pick the best (while planning to use the best later), then he is taking a risk. I understand that risk. I know Seda does too. It means we are after something else, especially that gut feeling everybody has about a certain player at a certain game.<br /><br />Also because in ESPN's 1-N-Done, PRAs are multiplied by 4 in the Finals. That is why gamers in that fantasy do not pick the best, until there is more certainty that that player's team will lose the series.<br /><br />I should have two different lineups: one for DTTF (using best player in losing team; and for 1-N-Done. I'll do that next year.Taong Gagambahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05172021582832968662noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2794801666266415731.post-17827214074278853572013-05-23T06:59:04.046-07:002013-05-23T06:59:04.046-07:00Seda & Taong... Maybe you want to save player ...Seda & Taong... Maybe you want to save player from one team for the final round because you're feeling that team will advance. That's ok... BUT if you want to pick a player from this team before the finals you should bet on the best one. Players like Lebron, West, ... will sum up the same (+ or -) in any game... You always have time to bet on players secondary players who will give you a 10-15 PRA...quarkhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04599428155910913891noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2794801666266415731.post-7541089505737462382013-05-23T05:25:41.607-07:002013-05-23T05:25:41.607-07:00From experience, saving the best for the Finals ha...From experience, saving the best for the Finals has tremendous advantage. 2 or 3 times I went to the Finals before bearing roleplayers, and that always lower the percentile. Let others overtake you now, coz you'll overtake them later.Taong Gagambahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05172021582832968662noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2794801666266415731.post-10640952148060113012013-05-23T02:41:58.460-07:002013-05-23T02:41:58.460-07:00He got 30 10 10 @ home
Better on the road, wow it...He got 30 10 10 @ home <br />Better on the road, wow it will be tremendous :)Julien Lnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2794801666266415731.post-19708558260428678712013-05-22T23:07:06.034-07:002013-05-22T23:07:06.034-07:00I went with Stephenson tonight and he had a pretty...I went with Stephenson tonight and he had a pretty solid game. I slipped back a little but mostly because everyone is blowing their top guns early like Hibbert, West, George, and some even LBJ.<br /><br />LeBron always seems to play exceptionally well in the 1st games of series. Tonight proved no exception.<br /><br />I think going forward you can throw out anything you've come to expect from Miami. They don't match up well with Indiana who is a rare team that can both beat them up on the boards (neutralizing their fast breaks) and close out on 3 point shooters.<br /><br />Expect most of their outside marksmen to have a terrible series win or lose, as open looks will be rare. Allen will struggle most of all because he's a defensive liability (I'm a Celtics fan so I'm painfully aware of his shortcomings) so he will lose a lot of minutes to the likes of Anderson (expect him to have a few more games like tonight going forward).<br /><br />I think you can expect at least one big game each from Bosh and Wade, but their production will be down considerably from their averages and both likely will have ugly games.<br /><br />Despite the loss, I still think Indiana will make this a long series and can even pull off the upset. They nearly won and this was actually a really poor effort for them offensively with all the turnovers and Hill looking scared and lost...and they missed a lot of defensive assignments (that last play and at the last minute of regulation).<br /><br />I think the biggest surprise was seeing how well George could defend LeBron one on one. LBJ scored 30 but it was an ugly effort and he was outplayed for several stretches on both ends. <br /><br />The real telling factor will be confidence. If Indy can come away from this win knowing they can beat Miami then things could get really interesting. <br /><br />For picks for me going forward it makes it tricky. Hill is likely not going to do anything so he's too risky in my book. I wouldn't want to use George until an elimination game. And I wouldn't want to lose Hibbert and West in the case Indy does pull off the upset.<br /><br />So I'm thinking of going with Anderson or Chalmers in the next game. That was likely Anderson's best game. They'll definitely figure out the rotation to close him out and he's not going to go 7/7 again. But he should get boards and at least 8-10 points. With these games likely in the 80s - low 90s there aren't many guys outside the top 3 for each team who will put up much.Sedahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16581495983098180836noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2794801666266415731.post-1242979747585995642013-05-22T19:29:49.250-07:002013-05-22T19:29:49.250-07:00@Nicole, Alex may be asleep (Germany) and will che...@Nicole, Alex may be asleep (Germany) and will check stats in their morning. It may be too late. I hope he changed it in time. Or else he'll come storming in the comments next time (winks at Alex).<br /><br />I noticed LBJ's away stats too in the past. Used it pre-2012. But ignored it last year (that home/away factor change of belief). One thing's for sure, that guy loves to show off his supremacy to other people, and prove them wrong in their faces.Taong Gagambahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05172021582832968662noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2794801666266415731.post-88838523756021439542013-05-22T16:00:04.750-07:002013-05-22T16:00:04.750-07:00Always remember this too, LeBron plays better on t...Always remember this too, LeBron plays better on the road as well , just a little FYI for his stats!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2794801666266415731.post-72688468334588721072013-05-22T15:56:59.407-07:002013-05-22T15:56:59.407-07:00See below @Taong! Alex Don't pick Allen tonigh...See below @Taong! Alex Don't pick Allen tonight!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2794801666266415731.post-14310059540619848772013-05-22T14:44:27.627-07:002013-05-22T14:44:27.627-07:00Ah we need your insights then come Finals. Timing ...Ah we need your insights then come Finals. Timing of picks is critical as we approach the finish line. Taong Gagambahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05172021582832968662noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2794801666266415731.post-91325623432113658702013-05-22T14:39:36.682-07:002013-05-22T14:39:36.682-07:00@Alex I would save Allen for a later game in this ...@Alex I would save Allen for a later game in this series. There are 4 Heat players with over 100 3's in the season and Battier leads them with the most. Followed by Allen, Rio and then Bron. But, if I was going to pick a Heat player tonight, (which I suggest you don't) I would go with Battier. I do agree with picking an outside shooter. I have a feeling it's gonna get dirty in the paint tonight and most of the points you see will be coming from downtown.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2794801666266415731.post-73168773606500914462013-05-22T14:35:47.277-07:002013-05-22T14:35:47.277-07:00I'm def going with Hill tonight as well Taong!...I'm def going with Hill tonight as well Taong! To me his is the obvious choice. I know the Heat team like the back of my hand so it's soooooo hard for me to a pick a player from them because I know who can easily have an off night.<br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2794801666266415731.post-47494902940480810482013-05-22T14:35:41.193-07:002013-05-22T14:35:41.193-07:00Lucky you, you picked him at the right date. It...Lucky you, you picked him at the right date. It's hard to guess when to pick him --PRA fluctuates.Taong Gagambahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05172021582832968662noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2794801666266415731.post-39667697575560582722013-05-22T14:33:17.361-07:002013-05-22T14:33:17.361-07:00Why not a Pacer? Just in case of a sweep. You got ...Why not a Pacer? Just in case of a sweep. You got 4 good picks left. Hibbert, Stephenson and (hey) two Georges.Taong Gagambahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05172021582832968662noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2794801666266415731.post-25607964526629962742013-05-22T14:32:43.302-07:002013-05-22T14:32:43.302-07:00I picked Bayless last night and took the lead back...I picked Bayless last night and took the lead back in my group. He is the most consistent lately to me against the SA defense and is getting more minutes. <br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2794801666266415731.post-9995800128095916802013-05-22T10:53:54.074-07:002013-05-22T10:53:54.074-07:00For this series I have just about everyone left, e...For this series I have just about everyone left, except for West. So I will start with a player from the home team, and as I hope the Pacers will concentrate on James, Bosh and the guy with the knee, I might get lucky (ha) with Ray Allen. Or, you know, not. We´ll see.<br /><br />Last night I had Tony Allen who shot a fantastic 2 of 11 from the field but somehow still managed to get up to 19 PRA. Not as bad as I initially feared, even though it was an overtime game. The pick to make this time? Bayless with his 21 PRA. Even Pondexter had a good 17 PRA. <br /><br />So, two games in the West down, the next two are in the East. <br /><br />I just noticed that this is the second time I pick players with the same name on following days. Didn´t work out great with the Gasols, I hope the Allens will be better. Maybe it helps that they are not related.Alex Hergeshttp://www.donald.orgnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2794801666266415731.post-17456318749071276922013-05-21T15:48:54.826-07:002013-05-21T15:48:54.826-07:00Right! Roy Hibbert, how selfish of me. If you are ...Right! Roy Hibbert, how selfish of me. If you are in DTTF, you may use hime next to Paul George. No particular reason. Hibbert just owns the paint :)<br /><br />If 1-N-Done, wait for Miami winning Game 1, then pick Hibbert away anytime.<br /><br />If he is your last remaining good Pacer (I can't determine from your comment), wait til elim game.Taong Gagambahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05172021582832968662noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2794801666266415731.post-74921903644998895962013-05-21T15:43:17.774-07:002013-05-21T15:43:17.774-07:00Thank Julien! It should be Games 3 & 4. Correc...Thank Julien! It should be Games 3 & 4. Correcting now.<br /><br />Regarding elims and free agency, there's no proven link but I have seen it happen a lot of times as I've played this DTTF over the years. Not always, mind you. Our world is unfortunately a what-you-did-recently, whether it be nba or the end of your evaluation period at work, more than one what did before. One needs to leave a good impression.<br /><br />You are right though that one does not wait until the end to perform coz GMs do keep track of the whole shebang. I agree. And honest and proper workers must do so whole year long. David West, I believe, is one of those ever hardworkers. I just believe, too, that a free agent will squeze in more PRA out. That doesn't necessarily mean they suck before. Most wants to go out with a bang.<br /><br />I in fact wanted to choose West in Game1, I believe too that he is itching for revenge. So it okay to pick him now. Just for me there other factors like the 1-N-Done strategy of holding good players until down 2 or elims.<br /><br />As for home stats, I have said already in this blog (it's somewhere in the archives this playoffs) that home and away stats don't matter. I just said I'll pick Paul at home, doesn't necessarily imply his home stats are better; may even mean because I am saving him for last (that 1-N-Done strategy again) and I wished for a sweep.<br /><br />Hope that clarifies it :)Taong Gagambahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05172021582832968662noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2794801666266415731.post-63896155507162785742013-05-21T08:38:01.524-07:002013-05-21T08:38:01.524-07:00Hey Taong. I still surprisingly have roy hibbert p...Hey Taong. I still surprisingly have roy hibbert problem is its unclear on when i should use him? Your thoughts? ThanksAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2794801666266415731.post-37846437199430229312013-05-21T08:30:04.695-07:002013-05-21T08:30:04.695-07:00Hello,
I fully respect your blog and ideas but :
...Hello, <br />I fully respect your blog and ideas but :<br />-, game 5 is not @ IND<br />- is there really a link between elimination games and impending free agency ? I think that if you want to prove your worth, you don't wait for the last game of the season ?!<br />Furthermore, considering home and away games, I don't think it affects players' stats (overall and PRA-wise). Most players have similar averages away and at home.<br />Regards from France ;)Juliennoreply@blogger.com