It's A Mess [Updated]

Why oh why? Last year was so much better! Teams won when they were expected to. Pick plans were so stable! No, not this year, no. I think I've changed picks more times this round already than I did the last two playoffs combined. Seriously!

Houston, We Have A Problem

Only three teams in the history of the NBA have come back from down 0-2 after losing both games at home. And the Rockets have seen it happen upfront twice. In 1994, Hakeem Olajuwon's Rockets lost two then rallied to win a Round 2 series against Charles Barkley's Suns. In 2005, it happened on the other end with Yao Ming's Rockets, when Dirk Nowitzki's Mavs overcame that 0-2 deficit in Round 1.

Toss A Coin

Three games all tied 1-1. Pacers got back on track against the Hawks. Grizzlies stole a road win from Thunder. Clippers retaliated on the Warriors... big-time! It's very rare that we are faced with all games in a day with a level of uncertainty. One wrong pick on a winner will send ripples (the bad kind) to our pick plan, not only for Round 1, but also throughout the rest of the playoffs.

Spread The Wealth?

For Day 5's games, the best bet will be to take a Bobcat. Usually I avoid picking from the same team in consecutive games early in Round 1 to avoid running out of picks from a series (or piling up too much on the others). Looking on future Bobcats game dates, they seem to be packed with other options. Maybe a Hawk on Saturday and a Mav on Monday. Okay, a Bobcat again then.

Lesser Of Three Evils

All the games on this date have road teams up 1-0: the Hawks, Nets and Wizards. That would have been a conundrum if not for the Nets already favored to win their series. So for today, pick a Raptor. It's a safer bet than picking a Pacer or a Bull.

Pick A Grizzly

Three road wins already in Day 1 had us watching our steps with care too early in the playoffs. The Nets win was not too surprising as most of us planned for an upset anyway. The Hawks win was a surprise but I think most are convinced this is still Pacers'. Noone is just going to pick a Hawk in Game 2. The Warriors win however was a stinger, not only for those who already picked Stephen Curry, but also to most of us who have to change our plans and adapt to it.