Charles Xavier: Just because someone stumbles and loses their way, it doesn’t mean they’re lost forever.
Get up and fight! I have seen them after a loss before, even on blowouts, and I have seen them react positively as if they can't wait for the next game for some payback. I didn't see that after Game 5. Their demeanour can still change between now and Game 6, but for now, that is my major reason for counting them off and making me feel comfortable with picking a Thunder, even a filler. My Saturday pick goes to Steven Adams.
Adams played relatively great in their do-or-die games in the last round, and I hope that happens again. I previously said I'd pick Caron Butler or Derek Fisher on an elimination game because they are soon-to-be free agents, but that was before I looked at their Game 6 and 7 last round. I didn't like what I saw.
[UPDATE] I had time to review this pick and pondered why Boris Diaw sits at 2nd hottest owned. Coach Brooks may switch Ibaka on Duncan so as not to let Bonner and Diaw lure Ibaka away from the paint on defense. That puts Perkins, Adams and Thunder's other bigs on the Spurs' stretch bigs. This scenario may nullify Diaw's exploitation of the Thunder D a bit, but I now think it affects Adams even more now. Also, I saw how last year's Spurs-Heat series showed that the Heat has good perimeter D on Diaw. That means Diaw can never be more effective in the Finals than now in the Conference Finals being used as an X-Factor and important chess piece. And so, I am changing my pick to Diaw. Let it rain.