But again, the thing is... this is the 2014 playoffs, and home court means... nothing.
You have to figure out now, which teams are most likely to win Game 3, and which teams are most likely to lose, and how one team's chances stack up against the other. For me, this is how it is:
- Wizards -- 60%
- Clippers -- 55%
- Thunder -- 45%
- Pacers -- 40%
Why The Pacers Will Lose
The Pacers won Game 3 with Roy's Hibbert's re-emergence. But that came with a price, I thought he became a sinkhole when the ball came to him and the Pacers' shooters were not able to cash in on the attention Hibbert was getting. Luckily for the Pacers, when the ball sunk into Hibbert, he was able to produce. He made 10 of 13, but imagine if he was at his average of 44%FG -- that would spell a loss. I am not sure if they can get back to being a well-balanced team in Game 3, which I think they need. They may still win, but I am risking my pick for another Pacer, Lance Stephenson. [UPDATE: Stephenson pick cancelled.]
Why The Thunder Will Lose
"We Are One", that's the Clipper fandom slogan and the Staples crowd will be louder than the Wizards' arena for sure. If the Clippers win, it will be the fans who will have the biggest impact on Game 3. Blake Griffin was subpar in Game 2 and he'll be looking to raise his game at it should be.
Why The Clippers Will Lose
Simply, because Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook won't allow it. They both had spectacular showing in Game 2, and to them playing on the road is not an issue. Just look at the Memphis series' Game 6. I don't see people changing their mind yet about the Thunder owning this series, especially with that Game 2 trampling.
Why The Wizards Will Lose
Umm, I can't see it yet. Maybe if Hibbert becomes the defensive force he was last year and this regular season.
So, after all tied 1-1, are you still rooting for the same teams to advance?
Okay major change of mind here.
For Thursday's pick, I am changing to Damian Lillard. With the Spurs and Miami threatening to sweep (maybe), I have three chances left to pick the top three players among the Blazers+Nets. While Joe Johnson is still a viable pick, I decided to go for my best available player left, and worry about getting lucky with a Net pick later.
For Friday's pick, I am changing to Trevor Ariza even though the Wizards have the upperhand at this point. I realized I still have the full roster from the Wizards, and there are five 20-PRA guys in that roster (Beal, Wall, Ariza, Gortat and Nene). I only need to carry four of them into the Conference Finals, if they advance. Of their top three, Ariza is the one who has better luck vs the Pacers than the Heat. If Wizards lose Game 3, then it sets me up even better.