Let's start off this post with my Day 2 pick.
Al Jefferson. What is not to like about this pick? He will give you the 30+ PRA you seek, plus you know the Heat will eventually win this series. I know I will never be more comfortable with a pick this round than this one. Al carved up the Heat defense this season, and that can be attributed to the Heat's relative lack of size in the paint. It is rare that a team adjusts early in a series, so I expect Al to be his usual banger against the Heat.
Early in the playoffs, the strategy of "going with the flow" is something to be considered. Especially with those new to the game, looking at the hot picks first is a good guide. For those experienced in this game, it's a starting point for internal debate. Surely some of those people know something that pushed them to pick that certain player. That's when you start to analyze, and at the end of it realize how smart or flawed that pick is.
This date's hottest pick Al Jefferson is a no brainer. 30% of us are picking him, and the second hottest pick is not even close at 10%. I challenge everyone (and myself) to think of a reason not to pick him.
And if you do not like to pick him, here are the alternatives:
Dirk Nowitzki. This year's Spurs are the hungriest I've seen them since the year they won it with David Robinson. Last year's heartbreaker made them the monster they are now. Imagine a crash of rhinos stampeding over the Texas terrain, and there stands Dirk in the way. It will not be a pleasant sight.
Monta Ellis. Monta has been great in his playoff Day 1s and Game 1s before. Granted this is a new team and he doesn't carry all the load now, but he can be counted to rack the stat sheets from time to time. One thing's for sure, he's itching to win.
John Wall. I've been reading a lot of articles stating how this year's playoffs is a stage for John Wall finally going Super Saiyan mode. And I believe it. Look for him to burst out in his very first playoff game. Might be a good pick before the Bulls start adjusting and clamping him off.
With the Blazers-Rockets series, we should wait for two games before we touch it. While most pick the Rockets to come up on top, one can easily imagine a scenario that says otherwise. The Blazers may still do it. May.
By the way, crazy Day 1. Upsets galore.