Wow what a game that was! Pacers toe-to-toe with the Heat. Paul George coming up big in clutch in regulation and overtime, until LeBron James whipped...
That was really a close game that the Pacers could easily have won. If I could give both teams 1 win (1-1 after Game 1), I'll do it! Imagine if the Pacers win Game 2 convincingly, would you consider that a sign of Pacer superiority? Maybe not, but maybe people will start picking Heat players in DTTF.
So nothing has changed to convince me to stop picking Pacers. For 1-N-Done reasons (which I just decided to apply to DTTF as well for uniformity's sake), I'm reserving my top 2 remaining Pacers for later. My pick goes to Lance Stephenson.
If you are not in the top 20% of your league right now, it might be necessary to differentiate from the rest of the pack by not following the hot picks. I do not mean start playing like the underdog will will. I mean just rearrange the timing of picke per series. Just do your reordering of picks with reason, so that you can still have confidence in them. Do not blindly pick someone at random. Hopefully, that going against the flow will allow you to pass some people in your league.
If you have someone in mind you want to overtake (e.g. super-lucky-hustler), look at his pick history and try to surmise who he has left, and who he will most likely pick based on his picking behavior. You may be tempted to right away pick a much much better baller (say, Paul George) just so you can have the distinction of having been able to overtake him. But I'll advise against that. What you should do is ride his coat tail and mirror his picks. And then on an opportune moment (preferably in the Finals), differentiate and hope to overtake.