Pacers won Game 4. Series tied at two a piece. Have you saved the Heat's Big Three for the Finals? If you've been playing smart (just smart-level, genius-level is optional), you have been saving LeBron, Wade, Bosh, Parker, Duncan and maybe Ginobili for the Finals. Let me scare you a bit... just a little bit...
You choose the Heat to win the series and pick a Pacer in Game 5 (probably David West or Paul George). Pacers win Game 5 and pushes Heat into brink of elimination. You scramble to pick a Heat for Game 6 (LeBron of course). Pacers win Game 6 at home -- and the series. You missed picks on Wade and Bosh -- that's about 45 PRA worth in DTTF, and about 135 points in 1-N-Done. Scared? Okay, let me push your panic button...
You pick Wade in Game 5. Pacers win Game 5. You pick LeBron in Game 6. Heat win Game 6. You pick your last remaining good Pacer in Game 7. Heat win Game 7. Who is left to pick in the Finals? Scared already? Confused?
What you need to do is calm dawn, hold your bearing, breath slowly and deeply (breath in 1 2 3 4 5, breath out 1 2 3 4 5), and relax.
Now answer this: who will win a best-of-three series, Heat or Pacers? Don't listen to me or the experts or your peers. Just own the answer, it's yours and nobody else's. And let that answer simply dictate your pick in Game 5.
If you pick the Pacers to win, you have at least two dates to pick LeBron and Wade. Pick one of them now. Bosh limped in the third quarter of Game 4 and if he is hurt, expect Bosh to draw Hibbert away from the paint. Thus, a clearer way for LeBron and Wade. Save your best remaining Pacers for the Finals.
If you pick the Heat to win, I am assuming you have one good Pacer left. Save him for a Game 6 elimination playing at home, and pick your next best Pacer available for now.
Now, don't read further.
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I pick the Heat to win the series.
My pick in 1-N-Done: Mario Chalmers.
My pick in DTTF: Dwyane Wade.
I told you not to read further =P